In article , Wolf K
wrote:


Correct, although the fine-grained details are a bit more complex. Stats
show that accident rates increase after licensing, reaching a max around
5 years after obtaining the licence.
nope.

newly licensed drivers are the most dangerous, becoming safer as they
gain experience, bottoming out in the 30s-50s, and then rising again
around 60s.

Actually, newly licensed drivers have low accident rate for the first
year or so of driving, then the rates go up.

false.

https://one.nhtsa.gov/people/injury/olddrive/Figure6.gif

The usual explanation is
that as they gain experience, the gain over-confidence. This fact was
discovered when someone decided to take a look not at age but at driving
experience. It was one the oddities covered in the course qualifying me
as driving instructor.

that explanation is clearly wrong.

https://www.researchgate.net/profile...tion/6996326/f
igure/fig1/AS:601580558618625@1520439390087/Young-driver-crash-rates-as-
a-function-of-experience-time-licensed-and-distance-driven.png

https://www.researchgate.net/profile...ication/316105
710/figure/fig3/AS:483001617391620@1492167967997/Crash-rate-in-terms-of-
drivers-experience-years-in-driving.png

NB, that I pointed to "fine-grained details." The stats usually quoted
aren't fine-grained enough.

they don't need to be. the trends are clear.