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#1
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"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant"
"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant"
http://www.cringely.com/2016/01/21/p...me-irrelevent/ I have been wondering about this. Lynn |
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#2
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"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant"
Lynn McGuire wrote:
"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant" http://www.cringely.com/2016/01/21/p...me-irrelevent/ I have been wondering about this. Lynn That's just a weird way of putting one of the realities of running a high tech company. "You're only as good as your Next Big Thing" The track record on tech companies isn't all that good. If you don't manage to overlap a new technology (that only you can make) with your current "cash cow" business, then you're screwed. Even Microsoft could suffer a similar fate, but at least it's working on its Cloud (Azure) business. Even if Microsoft had to become a smaller company, they might have enough overlapped projects to survive. It's pretty hard to guess what Intel has in the pipe. Memristors ? Quantum computing ? You'd need to know how many Intel staff work in "pure research" to have some idea what the future holds for them. Intel are pretty picky about what products they will "embrace". So even if you see a neat gadget that they've been selling to the market as a prototype, they won't stick with it. So whatever their Next Big Thing is, it'll be something that only they can make, and no competitor has the materials to chip away at their pricing. For example, they're selling these, but I don't expect this to last as a business as such. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_RealSense Just like Google Glass didn't last. No news recently on this one. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Google_Glass Paul |
#3
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"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant"
Paul wrote:
Just like Google Glass didn't last. No news recently on this one. Well, an updated "glass" device was spotted going through FCC approval last month. http://9to5google.com/2015/12/28/this-is-google-glass-enterprise-edition-in-the-flesh-gallery/ |
#4
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"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant"
On 1/21/2016 9:18 PM, Paul wrote:
Lynn McGuire wrote: "Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant" http://www.cringely.com/2016/01/21/p...me-irrelevent/ I have been wondering about this. Lynn That's just a weird way of putting one of the realities of running a high tech company. "You're only as good as your Next Big Thing" The track record on tech companies isn't all that good. If you don't manage to overlap a new technology (that only you can make) with your current "cash cow" business, then you're screwed. Even Microsoft could suffer a similar fate, but at least it's working on its Cloud (Azure) business. Even if Microsoft had to become a smaller company, they might have enough overlapped projects to survive. It's pretty hard to guess what Intel has in the pipe. Memristors ? Quantum computing ? You'd need to know how many Intel staff work in "pure research" to have some idea what the future holds for them. Intel are pretty picky about what products they will "embrace". So even if you see a neat gadget that they've been selling to the market as a prototype, they won't stick with it. So whatever their Next Big Thing is, it'll be something that only they can make, and no competitor has the materials to chip away at their pricing. For example, they're selling these, but I don't expect this to last as a business as such. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intel_RealSense Just like Google Glass didn't last. No news recently on this one. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Google_Glass Paul As a Technology ages, a company must change its business model from one dependent on new or improved technology, to making small improvements or supplying a cheaper product Technically Moore's law has stopped working. It ended when the speed of the processors reached the speed and densities where electron tunneling became a problem. That occurred when the CPU companies started to provide multiple processor chips several years ago. Intel will survive if it can change its business model to accommodate the fact that it can not double the speed of it CPU every two years. There will all ways be the need for CPU chips, as computers will not go away. We must realize there are limits that are imposed by the basic principal of physics and chemistry. Computer chips have a density that can not be passed, there are a limited number of voltages in the electron couples that can be used for batteries. You can only improve a solar cell to the point where the electrons that collect the energy in sum light are packed so close, and the light will penetrate only through a limited number of layers of electrons. Sorry physic and chemistry place limits on our dreams. |
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"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant"
On 1/22/2016 3:35 AM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant" Irrelevant to average users, but not the server market! -- @~@ Remain silent. Nothing from soldiers and magicians is real! / v \ Simplicity is Beauty! May the Force and farces be with you! /( _ )\ (Fedora release 23) Linux 4.3.3-301.fc23.x86_64 ^ ^ 21:12:01 up 11 min 0 users load average: 1.00 0.92 0.56 不借貸! 不詐騙! 不援交! 不打交! 不打劫! 不自殺! 請考慮綜援 (CSSA): http://www.swd.gov.hk/tc/index/site_...sub_addressesa |
#6
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"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant"
On 1/22/2016 7:15 AM, Mr. Man-wai Chang wrote:
On 1/22/2016 3:35 AM, Lynn McGuire wrote: "Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant" Irrelevant to average users, but not the server market! Yes, but the server market is a very small subset of the Intel cpu market. Lynn |
#7
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"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant"
Oh no!! What will we do?
"Lynn McGuire" wrote in message ... "Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant" http://www.cringely.com/2016/01/21/p...me-irrelevent/ I have been wondering about this. Lynn |
#8
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"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant"
On 01/21/16 11:35, Lynn McGuire so wittily quipped:
"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant" http://www.cringely.com/2016/01/21/p...me-irrelevent/ I have been wondering about this. Lynn if Intel had not tied a good part of their success to Microsoft's next OS, i.e. W10 [as they had with W8.x], they'd be doing a LOT better. Intel needs to unhitch their wagon and start "diversifying" - and if that means getting LINUX DESKTOP COMPUTERS out there, running with intel processors and OUT-SELLING the W10 BOXEN [with marketing campaigns to make that happen], and making SURE that Linux and other alternative operating systems (BSD, for example), are WELL SUPPORTED, then Intel will be LESS impacted by a **** operating system release like W8 or W10. same with new computer sales, down 10% becase of W10 http://www.theregister.co.uk/2016/01...ror_pc_market/ |
#9
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"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant"
On 01/21/2016 02:35 PM, Lynn McGuire wrote:
"Prediction #9: Intel starts to become irrelevant" http://www.cringely.com/2016/01/21/p...me-irrelevent/ I have been wondering about this. Even some tablets are using Intel now. The FreeNAS people recommend only Intel-based hardware. Perce |
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