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#61
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over thelast 100 years
Eric Stevens wrote:
On Tue, 24 Sep 2019 17:13:33 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 23 Sep 2019 07:22:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Sat, 21 Sep 2019 12:14:39 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 21/09/2019 04.26, Eric Stevens wrote: On Fri, 20 Sep 2019 22:34:04 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 20/09/2019 02.33, Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2019 12:30:32 -0400, Paul wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: I asked you a general question and you answer with a specific example. :-( Because all the problems, all the industry, can not be tackled all at once. Start somewhere with something, and continue. A step at a time. So, you have no general answer to the problems. You can only pick off occasional examples. And you refuse to solve a part of the problem just because it does not solve it all. Instead of doing what we can NOW. No. Like you I want to solve the problem but like you I recognise that what is needed is a solution of broad aplicability which wind and solar are not. And what is your broadly applicable solution, then? Right now I think its pebble bed reactors with thorium reactors not too far away. That's if only we could start working on them again. Untested, theoretical technology which is at best 20 years away. That's not withstanding the public (and therefore government) unease with nuclear power. Not really a solution; more of a hope. What do we do in the meantime? Neither are untested. The USA was working on the thorium reactor in the early 70s but gave it up because it would not produce weapons grade materials. The chinese are now well ahead with both pebble bed and thorium reactors. Evidence? From what i can see there's only one working pebble reactor and no thorium reactors anywhere. The Chinese pebble reactor is not without controversy https://www.sciencedaily.com/release...0823113558.htm And an African project never got off the ground https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pebb...odular_reactor I'd say fusion is better long-term hope. If it ever works sustainedly. Even then I think it will be further away than the fission alternatives. True, since fission has been around since the 50s. However, the appetite for fission is low. Particularly in the west. The downsides are sufficient to warrant investing in alternative technologies. Fusion can generate more energy, produces much less dangerous waste and is inherently fail safe. For me it's the long term solution when solar and wind capacity has peaked. |
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#62
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over the last 100years
On 26/09/2019 01:56, Rene Lamontagne wrote:
On 2019-09-25 7:07 p.m., Eric Stevens wrote: On Tue, 24 Sep 2019 17:13:33 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 23 Sep 2019 07:22:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Sat, 21 Sep 2019 12:14:39 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 21/09/2019 04.26, Eric Stevens wrote: On Fri, 20 Sep 2019 22:34:04 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 20/09/2019 02.33, Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2019 12:30:32 -0400, Paul wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: I asked you a general question and you answer with a specific example. :-( Because all the problems, all the industry, can not be tackled all at once. Start somewhere with something, and continue. A step at a time. So, you have no general answer to the problems. You can only pick off occasional examples. And you refuse to solve a part of the problem just because it does not solve it all. Instead of doing what we can NOW. No. Like you I want to solve the problem but like you I recognise that what is needed is a solution of broad aplicability which wind and solar are not. And what is your broadly applicable solution, then? Right now I think its pebble bed reactors with thorium reactors not too far away. That's if only we could start working on them again. Untested, theoretical technology which is at best 20 years away. That's not withstanding the public (and therefore government) unease with nuclear power. Not really a solution; more of a hope. What do we do in the meantime? Neither are untested. The USA was working on the thorium reactor in the early 70s but gave it up because it would not produce weapons grade materials. The chinese are now well ahead with both pebble bed and thorium reactors. I'd say fusion is better long-term hope. If it ever works sustainedly. Even then I think it will be further away than the fission alternatives. ITER is still 6 years away from a proposed startup, If it works!! and if it stays together!!! And at what cost. We know the technology is sound as there have been several tokomaks already built for research purposes. ITER is the first stage of scale-up to see if we can produce fusion energy stably at a commercial like scale. It also answers lots of engineering questions around the building of such a large generator for future commercial development. It's been frustratingly slow as lots of new engineering problems needed to be solved. |
#63
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over the last 100years
On 2019-09-26 9:57 a.m., Chris wrote:
Eric Stevens wrote: On Tue, 24 Sep 2019 17:13:33 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 23 Sep 2019 07:22:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Sat, 21 Sep 2019 12:14:39 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 21/09/2019 04.26, Eric Stevens wrote: On Fri, 20 Sep 2019 22:34:04 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 20/09/2019 02.33, Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2019 12:30:32 -0400, Paul wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: I asked you a general question and you answer with a specific example. :-( Because all the problems, all the industry, can not be tackled all at once. Start somewhere with something, and continue. A step at a time. So, you have no general answer to the problems. You can only pick off occasional examples. And you refuse to solve a part of the problem just because it does not solve it all. Instead of doing what we can NOW. No. Like you I want to solve the problem but like you I recognise that what is needed is a solution of broad aplicability which wind and solar are not. And what is your broadly applicable solution, then? Right now I think its pebble bed reactors with thorium reactors not too far away. That's if only we could start working on them again. Untested, theoretical technology which is at best 20 years away. That's not withstanding the public (and therefore government) unease with nuclear power. Not really a solution; more of a hope. What do we do in the meantime? Neither are untested. The USA was working on the thorium reactor in the early 70s but gave it up because it would not produce weapons grade materials. The chinese are now well ahead with both pebble bed and thorium reactors. Evidence? From what i can see there's only one working pebble reactor and no thorium reactors anywhere. The Chinese pebble reactor is not without controversy https://www.sciencedaily.com/release...0823113558.htm And an African project never got off the ground https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pebb...odular_reactor I'd say fusion is better long-term hope. If it ever works sustainedly. Even then I think it will be further away than the fission alternatives. True, since fission has been around since the 50s. However, the appetite for fission is low. Particularly in the west. The downsides are sufficient to warrant investing in alternative technologies. Fusion can generate more energy, produces much less dangerous waste and is inherently fail safe. For me it's the long term solution when solar and wind capacity has peaked. Kinda Fail safe, One bad weld between the Superconducting magnets and you would probably vaporize the machine, Remember the LHC incident? Rene |
#64
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over thelast 100 years
Rene Lamontagne wrote:
On 2019-09-26 9:57 a.m., Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Tue, 24 Sep 2019 17:13:33 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 23 Sep 2019 07:22:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Sat, 21 Sep 2019 12:14:39 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 21/09/2019 04.26, Eric Stevens wrote: On Fri, 20 Sep 2019 22:34:04 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 20/09/2019 02.33, Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2019 12:30:32 -0400, Paul wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: I asked you a general question and you answer with a specific example. :-( Because all the problems, all the industry, can not be tackled all at once. Start somewhere with something, and continue. A step at a time. So, you have no general answer to the problems. You can only pick off occasional examples. And you refuse to solve a part of the problem just because it does not solve it all. Instead of doing what we can NOW. No. Like you I want to solve the problem but like you I recognise that what is needed is a solution of broad aplicability which wind and solar are not. And what is your broadly applicable solution, then? Right now I think its pebble bed reactors with thorium reactors not too far away. That's if only we could start working on them again. Untested, theoretical technology which is at best 20 years away. That's not withstanding the public (and therefore government) unease with nuclear power. Not really a solution; more of a hope. What do we do in the meantime? Neither are untested. The USA was working on the thorium reactor in the early 70s but gave it up because it would not produce weapons grade materials. The chinese are now well ahead with both pebble bed and thorium reactors. Evidence? From what i can see there's only one working pebble reactor and no thorium reactors anywhere. The Chinese pebble reactor is not without controversy https://www.sciencedaily.com/release...0823113558.htm And an African project never got off the ground https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pebb...odular_reactor I'd say fusion is better long-term hope. If it ever works sustainedly. Even then I think it will be further away than the fission alternatives. True, since fission has been around since the 50s. However, the appetite for fission is low. Particularly in the west. The downsides are sufficient to warrant investing in alternative technologies. Fusion can generate more energy, produces much less dangerous waste and is inherently fail safe. For me it's the long term solution when solar and wind capacity has peaked. Kinda Fail safe, One bad weld between the Superconducting magnets and you would probably vaporize the machine, Significantly damage? probably. Vaporise? nope. Remember the LHC incident? Nope |
#65
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over thelast 100 years
Eric Stevens wrote:
On Thu, 26 Sep 2019 01:48:12 -0400, Paul wrote: Mayayana wrote: "Paul" wrote | https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/briti...tiny-1.1121718 | | This is why we can't have nice things. | | Canadians are going to be the last people on Pluto | at this rate... | One wonders if they might have been able to build a hydroelectric dam *and* the river to go with it for less money. Which brings up the one thing that might be scarier than nuclear war and global warming: dumbass, technophiliac scientists who don't consider the implications of what they do, producing things like hybrids of smallpox and being absurdly confident that there's no risk. I remember some kind of documentary on TV years ago in which they said that the scientists at the Manhattan Project were not sure they wouldn't blow up the earth with their first test. But they did it anyway, after warning the governor of New Mexico to take his family and drive out of state. Just in case they incinerated NM but didn't blow up the Earth, the governor would come in handy to manage the resulting disaster. The combination of stupidity and arrogance is frightening. What sci-fi disaster plot might they be working on right now? Windmills, by contrast, are not "sexy". Just practical. Well, we don't want to be over-dramatic. Certainly, in very immature areas of work, our reach outstretched our grasp. There were the people drinking radium cough syrup. The people XRaying their feet at the shoe store. You can thank these people and times, for the existence of the FDA. When coal oil extractions were being done a hundred years ago, people were "sniffing" and especially "tasting" carcinogens. A number of them died, without knowing exactly what killed them. What we learned from this, is a set of rules for Chem 100 students to keep them safe. That's an example, where some careless technique with safer materials, was wiped out when actual dangerous materials were discovered, and nobody knew how to handle them. For nuclear explosions, there was a theory at one time that "the atmosphere could catch fire". Now, maybe I haven't precisely captured the concern there, as the atmospheric constituents aren't particularly fuel-heavy. And atmospheric testing of nuclear weapons got to the 50 megaton level, without anything catching fire as predicted. You can remove the gaseous shell from around the Earth. You can remove all the water. But it takes a collision with a relatively large "rock" to do it. The rock would unleash the equivalent power of *millions* of nuclear weapons. On the Large Hadron Collider, a concern was that a Black Hole might form. But there was also a theory that small Black Holes "evaporate" in a fraction of a second - they're not around for very long at all. Creating fusion inside a small metallic chamber, is a small cross-section of what happens in the Sun. And if you make a mistake, all it does is "ruin your gadget" and prevent you from doing a second run with it. There isn't a risk of a chain reaction, because the conditions for it are not present. Even if you had a hundred tons of the fuel used by the device sitting next to it, the material is neither "compressed" nor "heated" to the correct temperature for fusion ignition. This is what makes the technology safe, even in its present crude state of understanding. But then there will still be a hell of radioactive scrap, some of which will have been vapourised. Hardly. There's very little radioactive waste from fusion even in an accident. Irradiated components from neutrons have a manageable half-life and cannot e released into the atmosphere unlike a fission explosion. |
#66
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over the last 100years
Rene Lamontagne wrote:
On 2019-09-26 9:57 a.m., Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Tue, 24 Sep 2019 17:13:33 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 23 Sep 2019 07:22:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Sat, 21 Sep 2019 12:14:39 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 21/09/2019 04.26, Eric Stevens wrote: On Fri, 20 Sep 2019 22:34:04 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 20/09/2019 02.33, Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2019 12:30:32 -0400, Paul wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: I asked you a general question and you answer with a specific example. :-( Because all the problems, all the industry, can not be tackled all at once. Start somewhere with something, and continue. A step at a time. So, you have no general answer to the problems. You can only pick off occasional examples. And you refuse to solve a part of the problem just because it does not solve it all. Instead of doing what we can NOW. No. Like you I want to solve the problem but like you I recognise that what is needed is a solution of broad aplicability which wind and solar are not. And what is your broadly applicable solution, then? Right now I think its pebble bed reactors with thorium reactors not too far away. That's if only we could start working on them again. Untested, theoretical technology which is at best 20 years away. That's not withstanding the public (and therefore government) unease with nuclear power. Not really a solution; more of a hope. What do we do in the meantime? Neither are untested. The USA was working on the thorium reactor in the early 70s but gave it up because it would not produce weapons grade materials. The chinese are now well ahead with both pebble bed and thorium reactors. Evidence? From what i can see there's only one working pebble reactor and no thorium reactors anywhere. The Chinese pebble reactor is not without controversy https://www.sciencedaily.com/release...0823113558.htm And an African project never got off the ground https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pebb...odular_reactor I'd say fusion is better long-term hope. If it ever works sustainedly. Even then I think it will be further away than the fission alternatives. True, since fission has been around since the 50s. However, the appetite for fission is low. Particularly in the west. The downsides are sufficient to warrant investing in alternative technologies. Fusion can generate more energy, produces much less dangerous waste and is inherently fail safe. For me it's the long term solution when solar and wind capacity has peaked. Kinda Fail safe, One bad weld between the Superconducting magnets and you would probably vaporize the machine, Remember the LHC incident? Rene At this point, I'm not quite sure what fusion can provide. They're still working the same containment problems they were working decades ago. I haven't seen any "imagining" where some individual would say "I think we could build a 100 megawatt unit if we wanted to try right now". I don't see anyone proposing such things. Even the fuel choice is somewhat open-ended. And that's a measure of solving the containment and energy extraction problems. And achieving a Q suitable for actually building something. For example, if they pick a fuel that isn't very plentiful, then that becomes their *next* problem. Paul |
#67
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over the last 100years
On 2019-09-26 1:38 p.m., Chris wrote:
Rene Lamontagne wrote: On 2019-09-26 9:57 a.m., Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Tue, 24 Sep 2019 17:13:33 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 23 Sep 2019 07:22:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Sat, 21 Sep 2019 12:14:39 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 21/09/2019 04.26, Eric Stevens wrote: On Fri, 20 Sep 2019 22:34:04 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 20/09/2019 02.33, Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2019 12:30:32 -0400, Paul wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: I asked you a general question and you answer with a specific example. :-( Because all the problems, all the industry, can not be tackled all at once. Start somewhere with something, and continue. A step at a time. So, you have no general answer to the problems. You can only pick off occasional examples. And you refuse to solve a part of the problem just because it does not solve it all. Instead of doing what we can NOW. No. Like you I want to solve the problem but like you I recognise that what is needed is a solution of broad aplicability which wind and solar are not. And what is your broadly applicable solution, then? Right now I think its pebble bed reactors with thorium reactors not too far away. That's if only we could start working on them again. Untested, theoretical technology which is at best 20 years away. That's not withstanding the public (and therefore government) unease with nuclear power. Not really a solution; more of a hope. What do we do in the meantime? Neither are untested. The USA was working on the thorium reactor in the early 70s but gave it up because it would not produce weapons grade materials. The chinese are now well ahead with both pebble bed and thorium reactors. Evidence? From what i can see there's only one working pebble reactor and no thorium reactors anywhere. The Chinese pebble reactor is not without controversy https://www.sciencedaily.com/release...0823113558.htm And an African project never got off the ground https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pebb...odular_reactor I'd say fusion is better long-term hope. If it ever works sustainedly. Even then I think it will be further away than the fission alternatives. True, since fission has been around since the 50s. However, the appetite for fission is low. Particularly in the west. The downsides are sufficient to warrant investing in alternative technologies. Fusion can generate more energy, produces much less dangerous waste and is inherently fail safe. For me it's the long term solution when solar and wind capacity has peaked. Kinda Fail safe, One bad weld between the Superconducting magnets and you would probably vaporize the machine, Significantly damage? probably. Vaporise? nope. Remember the LHC incident? Nope Some info on it 2008. https://home.cern/news/press-release...s-lhc-incident Rene |
#68
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over the last 100 years
On Thu, 26 Sep 2019 18:50:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris
wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 26 Sep 2019 01:48:12 -0400, Paul wrote: Mayayana wrote: "Paul" wrote | https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/briti...tiny-1.1121718 | | This is why we can't have nice things. | | Canadians are going to be the last people on Pluto | at this rate... | One wonders if they might have been able to build a hydroelectric dam *and* the river to go with it for less money. Which brings up the one thing that might be scarier than nuclear war and global warming: dumbass, technophiliac scientists who don't consider the implications of what they do, producing things like hybrids of smallpox and being absurdly confident that there's no risk. I remember some kind of documentary on TV years ago in which they said that the scientists at the Manhattan Project were not sure they wouldn't blow up the earth with their first test. But they did it anyway, after warning the governor of New Mexico to take his family and drive out of state. Just in case they incinerated NM but didn't blow up the Earth, the governor would come in handy to manage the resulting disaster. The combination of stupidity and arrogance is frightening. What sci-fi disaster plot might they be working on right now? Windmills, by contrast, are not "sexy". Just practical. Well, we don't want to be over-dramatic. Certainly, in very immature areas of work, our reach outstretched our grasp. There were the people drinking radium cough syrup. The people XRaying their feet at the shoe store. You can thank these people and times, for the existence of the FDA. When coal oil extractions were being done a hundred years ago, people were "sniffing" and especially "tasting" carcinogens. A number of them died, without knowing exactly what killed them. What we learned from this, is a set of rules for Chem 100 students to keep them safe. That's an example, where some careless technique with safer materials, was wiped out when actual dangerous materials were discovered, and nobody knew how to handle them. For nuclear explosions, there was a theory at one time that "the atmosphere could catch fire". Now, maybe I haven't precisely captured the concern there, as the atmospheric constituents aren't particularly fuel-heavy. And atmospheric testing of nuclear weapons got to the 50 megaton level, without anything catching fire as predicted. You can remove the gaseous shell from around the Earth. You can remove all the water. But it takes a collision with a relatively large "rock" to do it. The rock would unleash the equivalent power of *millions* of nuclear weapons. On the Large Hadron Collider, a concern was that a Black Hole might form. But there was also a theory that small Black Holes "evaporate" in a fraction of a second - they're not around for very long at all. Creating fusion inside a small metallic chamber, is a small cross-section of what happens in the Sun. And if you make a mistake, all it does is "ruin your gadget" and prevent you from doing a second run with it. There isn't a risk of a chain reaction, because the conditions for it are not present. Even if you had a hundred tons of the fuel used by the device sitting next to it, the material is neither "compressed" nor "heated" to the correct temperature for fusion ignition. This is what makes the technology safe, even in its present crude state of understanding. But then there will still be a hell of radioactive scrap, some of which will have been vapourised. Hardly. There's very little radioactive waste from fusion even in an accident. Irradiated components from neutrons have a manageable half-life and cannot e released into the atmosphere unlike a fission explosion. It depends on the accident. -- Eric Stevens There are two classes of people. Those who divide people into two classes and those who don't. I belong to the second class. |
#69
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over the last 100years
Eric Stevens wrote:
On Thu, 26 Sep 2019 18:50:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 26 Sep 2019 01:48:12 -0400, Paul wrote: Mayayana wrote: "Paul" wrote | https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/briti...tiny-1.1121718 | | This is why we can't have nice things. | | Canadians are going to be the last people on Pluto | at this rate... | One wonders if they might have been able to build a hydroelectric dam *and* the river to go with it for less money. Which brings up the one thing that might be scarier than nuclear war and global warming: dumbass, technophiliac scientists who don't consider the implications of what they do, producing things like hybrids of smallpox and being absurdly confident that there's no risk. I remember some kind of documentary on TV years ago in which they said that the scientists at the Manhattan Project were not sure they wouldn't blow up the earth with their first test. But they did it anyway, after warning the governor of New Mexico to take his family and drive out of state. Just in case they incinerated NM but didn't blow up the Earth, the governor would come in handy to manage the resulting disaster. The combination of stupidity and arrogance is frightening. What sci-fi disaster plot might they be working on right now? Windmills, by contrast, are not "sexy". Just practical. Well, we don't want to be over-dramatic. Certainly, in very immature areas of work, our reach outstretched our grasp. There were the people drinking radium cough syrup. The people XRaying their feet at the shoe store. You can thank these people and times, for the existence of the FDA. When coal oil extractions were being done a hundred years ago, people were "sniffing" and especially "tasting" carcinogens. A number of them died, without knowing exactly what killed them. What we learned from this, is a set of rules for Chem 100 students to keep them safe. That's an example, where some careless technique with safer materials, was wiped out when actual dangerous materials were discovered, and nobody knew how to handle them. For nuclear explosions, there was a theory at one time that "the atmosphere could catch fire". Now, maybe I haven't precisely captured the concern there, as the atmospheric constituents aren't particularly fuel-heavy. And atmospheric testing of nuclear weapons got to the 50 megaton level, without anything catching fire as predicted. You can remove the gaseous shell from around the Earth. You can remove all the water. But it takes a collision with a relatively large "rock" to do it. The rock would unleash the equivalent power of *millions* of nuclear weapons. On the Large Hadron Collider, a concern was that a Black Hole might form. But there was also a theory that small Black Holes "evaporate" in a fraction of a second - they're not around for very long at all. Creating fusion inside a small metallic chamber, is a small cross-section of what happens in the Sun. And if you make a mistake, all it does is "ruin your gadget" and prevent you from doing a second run with it. There isn't a risk of a chain reaction, because the conditions for it are not present. Even if you had a hundred tons of the fuel used by the device sitting next to it, the material is neither "compressed" nor "heated" to the correct temperature for fusion ignition. This is what makes the technology safe, even in its present crude state of understanding. But then there will still be a hell of radioactive scrap, some of which will have been vapourised. Hardly. There's very little radioactive waste from fusion even in an accident. Irradiated components from neutrons have a manageable half-life and cannot e released into the atmosphere unlike a fission explosion. It depends on the accident. What kind of accident we talkin about here ? Cafeteria catches fire ? Toilet backs up in the washroom ? ******* https://www.iaea.org/sites/default/f...7402042225.pdf "There is no potential for a runaway fusion reaction; indeed, the problem is making the fusion reaction proceed adequately at all. Virtually all hardware problems lead to fusion shutdown, and there are inherent limits in any case because of the limited amount of fusion fuel present and the nature of the fusion reaction. However, a particular focus of work in fusion safety is the analysis of various other potential accidents, such as magnet accidents, and "consequence calculations" are performed. For categorization of accidents into event groupings and estimation of the frequency of accidents, specific component reliability data are required." Presumably these kinds of calculations are related to "joules" and "how much energy can be released when bringing the system to a stop". The last page of that report, has a kind of checklist, but not every reactor type will have all the items in the list. Which is why it's premature to start making up "accidents" when there's no "plant" to compare to. If there's not even the remotest idea how large a plant like this would scale to, it's pretty hard to estimate the risks. And that checklist (from the IAEA) is already formulated as if the plant has all the same elements as a fission plant, which is a way to guarantee one is never built. If they're claiming "it has all the same fault modes", why would we ever build one ? It doesn't. For one thing, there's no TMI. There's no pellets burning their way to China. That's a major fault mode missing, right there. Paul |
#70
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over thelast 100 years
Rene Lamontagne wrote:
On 2019-09-26 1:38 p.m., Chris wrote: Rene Lamontagne wrote: On 2019-09-26 9:57 a.m., Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Tue, 24 Sep 2019 17:13:33 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 23 Sep 2019 07:22:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Sat, 21 Sep 2019 12:14:39 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 21/09/2019 04.26, Eric Stevens wrote: On Fri, 20 Sep 2019 22:34:04 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 20/09/2019 02.33, Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2019 12:30:32 -0400, Paul wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: I asked you a general question and you answer with a specific example. :-( Because all the problems, all the industry, can not be tackled all at once. Start somewhere with something, and continue. A step at a time. So, you have no general answer to the problems. You can only pick off occasional examples. And you refuse to solve a part of the problem just because it does not solve it all. Instead of doing what we can NOW. No. Like you I want to solve the problem but like you I recognise that what is needed is a solution of broad aplicability which wind and solar are not. And what is your broadly applicable solution, then? Right now I think its pebble bed reactors with thorium reactors not too far away. That's if only we could start working on them again. Untested, theoretical technology which is at best 20 years away. That's not withstanding the public (and therefore government) unease with nuclear power. Not really a solution; more of a hope. What do we do in the meantime? Neither are untested. The USA was working on the thorium reactor in the early 70s but gave it up because it would not produce weapons grade materials. The chinese are now well ahead with both pebble bed and thorium reactors. Evidence? From what i can see there's only one working pebble reactor and no thorium reactors anywhere. The Chinese pebble reactor is not without controversy https://www.sciencedaily.com/release...0823113558.htm And an African project never got off the ground https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pebb...odular_reactor I'd say fusion is better long-term hope. If it ever works sustainedly. Even then I think it will be further away than the fission alternatives. True, since fission has been around since the 50s. However, the appetite for fission is low. Particularly in the west. The downsides are sufficient to warrant investing in alternative technologies. Fusion can generate more energy, produces much less dangerous waste and is inherently fail safe. For me it's the long term solution when solar and wind capacity has peaked. Kinda Fail safe, One bad weld between the Superconducting magnets and you would probably vaporize the machine, Significantly damage? probably. Vaporise? nope. Remember the LHC incident? Nope Some info on it 2008. https://home.cern/news/press-release...s-lhc-incident Hmm. A helium leak and a superconducting magnet quench. Hardly a "vaporise " incident, is it? |
#71
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over the last 100years
Rene Lamontagne wrote:
On 2019-09-27 12:16 p.m., Chris wrote: Rene Lamontagne wrote: On 2019-09-26 1:38 p.m., Chris wrote: Rene Lamontagne wrote: On 2019-09-26 9:57 a.m., Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Tue, 24 Sep 2019 17:13:33 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 23 Sep 2019 07:22:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Sat, 21 Sep 2019 12:14:39 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 21/09/2019 04.26, Eric Stevens wrote: On Fri, 20 Sep 2019 22:34:04 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 20/09/2019 02.33, Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2019 12:30:32 -0400, Paul wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: I asked you a general question and you answer with a specific example. :-( Because all the problems, all the industry, can not be tackled all at once. Start somewhere with something, and continue. A step at a time. So, you have no general answer to the problems. You can only pick off occasional examples. And you refuse to solve a part of the problem just because it does not solve it all. Instead of doing what we can NOW. No. Like you I want to solve the problem but like you I recognise that what is needed is a solution of broad aplicability which wind and solar are not. And what is your broadly applicable solution, then? Right now I think its pebble bed reactors with thorium reactors not too far away. That's if only we could start working on them again. Untested, theoretical technology which is at best 20 years away. That's not withstanding the public (and therefore government) unease with nuclear power. Not really a solution; more of a hope. What do we do in the meantime? Neither are untested. The USA was working on the thorium reactor in the early 70s but gave it up because it would not produce weapons grade materials. The chinese are now well ahead with both pebble bed and thorium reactors. Evidence? From what i can see there's only one working pebble reactor and no thorium reactors anywhere. The Chinese pebble reactor is not without controversy https://www.sciencedaily.com/release...0823113558.htm And an African project never got off the ground https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pebb...odular_reactor I'd say fusion is better long-term hope. If it ever works sustainedly. Even then I think it will be further away than the fission alternatives. True, since fission has been around since the 50s. However, the appetite for fission is low. Particularly in the west. The downsides are sufficient to warrant investing in alternative technologies. Fusion can generate more energy, produces much less dangerous waste and is inherently fail safe. For me it's the long term solution when solar and wind capacity has peaked. Kinda Fail safe, One bad weld between the Superconducting magnets and you would probably vaporize the machine, Significantly damage? probably. Vaporise? nope. Remember the LHC incident? Nope Some info on it 2008. https://home.cern/news/press-release...s-lhc-incident Hmm. A helium leak and a superconducting magnet quench. Hardly a "vaporise " incident, is it? Hardly the same type of machine! Hardly the same expected results. A tokomak is not a cyclotron is it? One is running a gas at -473 Deg the other a plasma at a few million Deg. Rene OK, I found an article for the carbon beam dump at the LHC. https://www.symmetrymagazine.org/art...hc-from-itself If the beam were to go off-track, it would drill a hole in any material in its path. The beam is collimated, hair thin, and very energetic. And unlike some industrial lasers that can thump their way through a number of inches of material, the collimated beam could drill through many many feet of material. To "dump" it, they de-focus the beam and diffuse it, then point it at a 24 foot long 3 foot diameter chunk of graphite. Which heats up instantly. "Together the LHC’s magnets store even more energy than the proton beams do - a whopping 10,000 megajoules, compared to 362 megajoules for the beams." And the staff aren't allowed to stand in the tunnel while it's running. Parts of the tunnel are radioactive, and when you see a picture like this, at a guess the area around this is probably (coincidentally) radioactive from **** hitting the fan. https://www.symmetrymagazine.org/sit...?itok=hKKksrAJ ******* http://energyskeptic.com/2015/why-to...y-to-work-out/ "As this phenomenon builds, it is essential to discharge the huge energy accumulated in the magnet to the exterior of the Tokamak Building." [Clever] "If a quench in ITER were to cause all of its magnets to go normal, the magnetic energy released would be over 40 gigajoules, the equivalent of roughly ten tons of TNT. How fast that energy is released depends on a number of factors, and regulators will require design features to minimize external damage." So that's 4x the LHC magnet energy content. Paul |
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Maximal temperatures in the US have DECREASED over the last 100years
On 2019-09-27 7:15 p.m., Paul wrote:
Rene Lamontagne wrote: On 2019-09-27 12:16 p.m., Chris wrote: Rene Lamontagne wrote: On 2019-09-26 1:38 p.m., Chris wrote: Rene Lamontagne wrote: On 2019-09-26 9:57 a.m., Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Tue, 24 Sep 2019 17:13:33 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Mon, 23 Sep 2019 07:22:42 -0000 (UTC), Chris wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: On Sat, 21 Sep 2019 12:14:39 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 21/09/2019 04.26, Eric Stevens wrote: On Fri, 20 Sep 2019 22:34:04 +0200, "Carlos E.R." wrote: On 20/09/2019 02.33, Eric Stevens wrote: On Thu, 19 Sep 2019 12:30:32 -0400, Paul wrote: Eric Stevens wrote: I asked you a general question and you answer with a specific example. :-( Because all the problems, all the industry, can not be tackled all at once. Start somewhere with something, and continue. A step at a time. So, you have no general answer to the problems. You can only pick off occasional examples. And you refuse to solve a part of the problem just because it does not solve it all. Instead of doing what we can NOW. No. Like you I want to solve the problem but like you I recognise that what is needed is a solution of broad aplicability which wind and solar are not. And what is your broadly applicable solution, then? Right now I think its pebble bed reactors with thorium reactors not too far away. That's if only we could start working on them again. Untested, theoretical technology which is at best 20 years away. That's not withstanding the public (and therefore government) unease with nuclear power. Not really a solution; more of a hope. What do we do in the meantime? Neither are untested. The USA was working on the thorium reactor in the early 70s but gave it up because it would not produce weapons grade materials. The chinese are now well ahead with both pebble bed and thorium reactors. Evidence? From what i can see there's only one working pebble reactor and no thorium reactors anywhere. The Chinese pebble reactor is not without controversy https://www.sciencedaily.com/release...0823113558.htm And an African project never got off the ground https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pebb...odular_reactor I'd say fusion is better long-term hope. If it ever works sustainedly. Even then I think it will be further away than the fission alternatives. True, since fission has been around since the 50s. However, the appetite for fission is low. ParticularlyÂ* in the west. The downsides are sufficient to warrant investing in alternative technologies. Fusion can generate more energy, produces much less dangerous waste and is inherently fail safe. For me it's the long term solution when solar and wind capacity has peaked. Kinda Fail safe, One bad weld between the Superconducting magnets and you would probably vaporize the machine, Significantly damage? probably. Vaporise? nope. Remember the LHC incident? Nope Some info on it 2008. https://home.cern/news/press-release...s-lhc-incident Hmm. A helium leak and a superconducting magnet quench. Hardly a "vaporise " incident, is it? Hardly the same type of machine! Hardly the same expected results. A tokomak is not a cyclotron is it? One is running a gas at -473 Deg the other a plasma at a few million Deg. Rene OK, I found an article for the carbon beam dump at the LHC. https://www.symmetrymagazine.org/art...hc-from-itself If the beam were to go off-track, it would drill a hole in any material in its path. The beam is collimated, hair thin, and very energetic. And unlike some industrial lasers that can thump their way through a number of inches of material, the collimated beam could drill through many many feet of material. To "dump" it, they de-focus the beam and diffuse it, then point it at a 24 foot long 3 foot diameter chunk of graphite. Which heats up instantly. "Together the LHC’s magnets store even more energy than the proton beams Â*do - a whopping 10,000 megajoules, compared to 362 megajoules for the beams." And the staff aren't allowed to stand in the tunnel while it's running. Parts of the tunnel are radioactive, and when you see a picture like this, at a guess the area around this is probably (coincidentally) radioactive from **** hitting the fan. https://www.symmetrymagazine.org/sit...?itok=hKKksrAJ ******* http://energyskeptic.com/2015/why-to...y-to-work-out/ Â*Â* "As this phenomenon builds, it is essential to discharge the huge energy Â*Â*Â* accumulated in the magnet to the exterior of the Tokamak Building."Â*Â*Â*Â*Â* [Clever] Â*Â* "If a quench in ITER were to cause all of its magnets to go normal, Â*Â*Â* the magnetic energy released would be over 40 gigajoules, Â*Â*Â* the equivalent of roughly ten tons of TNT. How fast that Â*Â*Â* energy is released depends on a number of factors, and Â*Â*Â* regulators will require design features to minimize external damage." So that's 4x the LHC magnet energy content. Â*Â* Paul Thanks Paul for digging up those great articles, made seriously good reading and bears out my thoughts on the subject, the cost also would be totally prohibitive for units which could supply the amounts of megawatts we require. Rene |
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