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#20
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MicroMonopoly aids Terrorism?
Shenan Stanley wrote:
Everyone always brings up MaBell when this subject rolls around about Microsoft. The problem I see is that the comparison, while holding some validity, falls short in many ways. Essentially - service vs product monopoly. The idea is the same, but there are some subtle differences when you think on it that doesn't guarantee changes if just a break-up occurs. Well, I could go back to Standard Oil! I agree that there is no exact comparison with either, but the general principal remains valid. Breakup of the monopoly was necessary for the good of society as a whole. As for going open-source.. the idea sounds pleasing at first, except when you consider that it probably wouldn't go anywhere for decades and then the fear would be too much diversity. I'd guess somewhere under a decade to develop a stable competitive market. If I change jobs and/or move to another state, will I be using "Kurttrail's Office Suite" on "Megalard's Doors" OS where I was used to working on "Smiley's Productivity Set" on "Big Tex's" OS? Simpler yet - can Kurttrail's Office Suite read my Smiley's Productivity Set spreadsheet, modify it and send it back to me in a format I can edit again? OK, I need to clarify this misunderstanding. I only meant that Windows, for the most part, would go open source. I was being vague with you, because I thought you were being like the other guys, just more subtle, so I trying to smoke you out. Sorry, those other guys were just trying to defend MS at any cost, and that cost was proving my point for me, with their own examples. OK. So only Windows goes Open Source, what happens with the rest of MS? Business Apps and services would be the main part of MS that would survive, but with the condition that their file formats were non-proprietary, and it's present file formats would be open to all. Office really isn't all that much of a monopoly on it's own, and without proprietary file formats & the Windows OS to back it up, so Star Office, Perfect Office, & Open Office will have the opportunity to play in the office apps market on a fair playing field, all playing under the same rules. Windows Media Player, Messenger, MovieMaker, and the rest of the MS-bundle middleware except IE would be the moved to the new Office Systems Corp, [As a condition of the breakup Microsoft name would be prohibited from being used ever again. So let it be written, so let it be done!] along with MS's Business Services division. While Office Systems would still be the dominate player for years, their market share would diminish with time. Now we get to MSN and the rest of the MS's net holdings, and we sell it off to the highest bidder. [Google ends up buying it, forcing the AOL/Yahoo merger.] The XBox & MS's gaming software division are made into the XBox Games Corp. [And buys out Nintendo.] Ok, so the break up of MS creates other mega-companies, nobodies perfect, and at least there will still be competition in those markets, and during the decade or so it takes for the dust to settle other players might join in on those markets. I know - that's a bit extreme, but it is not (other than the names) completely impossible to imagine. Right now Office on the MAC sometimes has trouble with Office on the PC documents.. And Open Office doesn't read everything about Word or WordPerfect documents flawlessly. If you open the field too much without standards already in place (there isn't any now.. And there likely wouldn't be until after this became an actual problem) - you may be asking for trouble. That's just an opinion and one possibility - so it's not necessarily what I *believe* would happen - but a possibility. As long as you understand that I just talking in hypotheticals too. Believe me, the consequences of the breakup of MS would definitely not be all that smooth. You can't make an omelet without breaking a few eggs. I think before we go screaming "Open Source" and "Break Up Microsoft", we should consider forcing them to follow some standards that we come out with. Three years ago, I'd be with you on that. But the security situation has heated up to a point that it is totally foolhardy to continue down this same path, where there is really only one target to hit. The bigger & better guns are coming, and MS target is just too big to miss. http://www.ccianet.org/papers/cyberinsecurity.pdf One reason they have a large market share is because it's easy to use and most people will act like electricity at all times.. "Take the shortest path to ground." The right attitude? Maybe not - but I could never, in good conscience, say that the way everything (software/market share) is today is just Microsoft's fault - it's also people in general and their innate laziness or, rather than calling the whole human race lazy - how about "lack of interest". Your common computer user wants to sit down and use their computer to surf the web, get their email, pay some bills - and then go back to TV/sports/music/cooking/knitting/whatever their real interest is. So - they are not willing or just don't see the point in learning enough to use something other than "point and click and you have 5 ways to do almost every task." So, hey, I do not totally disagree with your convictions. I think you are on one end of a large spectrum and there will be, naturally, another side of the story. I lie somewhere in the middle - as most "computer people" do. I can use just about any OS/application you throw at me - whether I do or not has a lot to do with my desire in that particular app. If Microsoft broke up, if Windows went open source, if Lindows started becoming the OS of choice - I would adapt and move on. I support my customers/family/friends with the knowledge I have and taking their needs into consideration - and with all of that in mind - Windows is still on top for the end-user OS in my mind. It has the most apps/drivers/hardware configuration possibilities of any OS with the least amount of TRUE effort on the end-users part. This appeals to the "non-interested, gimme my Final Fantasy and the rest of the computer can rot" persona as well as the "less casual and intense cannot live without my email, spreadsheet, gaming system with the water cooling and remote control" individual. I agree. Preach on - I will listen - and you've at least - if nothing else - made me consider things I might not have before. Well, I have quite finished the MS Break-up story, have I? That's right what really happens to Windows once it is Open Source. SCO immediately puts out XPSP2 under the name of SCOdows, and is immediately sued by LindowsOS for infringing on their trademark. In 2007, SCO releases SCOhorn, without the SCOFS. In 2008, SCO goes bankrupt as SCOhorn is a total disaster, because of disgruntled former MS employees sabotage, and IBM buys SCO, just for spite. Let's get back to just after the breakup. RedHat & Novell compete to see who can get Windows APIs ported in their version of Linux first, but is beaten to the punch by Xandros, in the first quarter of 2004. Symantec puts out their version, which they call Wintec, based on 2K but with V2i security, making it the most bomb proof Win-Clone OS, because on any catastrophic OS failure, on reboot, the last known working OS setup would be reloaded in minutes, without any user or tech intervention. Symantec stock soars on the strength of its VL sales, and OEM licensing deal with Dell. Sun releases JavaXP, and it does well for a time, especially of home users, until the Linux boys port the WinAPIs into Linux . . . . Though I quite aware that none of this is really gonna happen this year or probably anytime soon, I do believe that some breakup of MS is inevitable based on their past actions, those since the Anti-Trust settlement, and because MS's OS is gonna get hit so bad one day, and probably sooner than later, that are gov'ts will be forced to act. And while the breakup of MS may well narrow competition in its non-OS markets in the short term, the Open Sourcing of Windows and its APIs could well become a truly competitive market in 5 years time. But - perhaps you should cross-post less. *grin* I can't even remember the last time I cross-posted to multiple groups, and this thread is relevant to all the groups I choose, so in this case I am not gonna feel the least bit guilty adding back all the groups you cut from your reply. ;-) Thanks for being a mensch! -- Peace! Kurt Self-anointed Moderator microscum.pubic.windowsexp.gonorrhea http://microscum.com "Trustworthy Computing" is only another example of an Oxymoron! "Produkt-Aktivierung macht frei!" |
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