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Microsoft Rumors Say Big Changes Coming in Windows 8.2
xfile wrote, On 12/2/2013 11:53 PM:
The old-guard approach is changing..but, still too many good-old-boys in the enterprise driven financial approval process to risk change (and still seen as change for the sake of change) in the big-bucks corporate world. Fully agreed. No rational manager will change perfectly working systems for the sake of change including OS upgrade not to mention for business applications and backbone systems. Look at the Windows XP's share which,still, is stubbornly taking around 30%. And that is why I mentioned "It's not going to change anytime soon, but it's "enterprises."" However, the point is that the synergy created by the server products, client OS, development tools, Office, and consumer service is falling apart and each category is being attacked heavily by competitors. When new investments on backbone systems are not bound by Windows platforms, the linkage between the back- and front-end is broken which means that it doesn't have to use client Windows as the front-end interface. So, the old mentality and approach of using business requirements to creating/forcing consumer needs will not work - for long. The PDF format afiacs is a logical one due to the ability to commonize file type and protect the distribution of proprietary information in documents. One of the best things coming out of the whole Web-based thing is that everything is moving, though gradually, to standard protocols and formats, and PDF is just one of them. And platform will become/is becoming a less important factor. Where will it end up ? Maybe your plan will prove true....but imo, your plan to 'move away' with any significant impact on market based adoption is a decade away. A decade would be an optimistic estimate And it's not my plan, sort of speaking. As they say, Rome wasn't built nor burnt in a day. Adaptation is necessary well in advance of that possible objective. It is happening just in case you didn't notice. Consumer and business are delaying their purchase/upgrade on Windows PCs. New investments on backbone systems are gradually moving away from Windows platforms especially for SMB's and some enterprises. Windows-based devices are taking a relatively small percentage of the market share. Again, the old mentality and approach of using business requirements to creating/forcing consumer needs will not work - for long. They need to create something decent to *re-attract* the market, and the current approach (e.g. Windows 8.x) isn't going to work. I don't see the XP share of 30% as stubborn, a short time ago it was hovering around about 43%. 13% is a significant drop and like other o/s when extended support ends any stubbornness rapidly dissipates. The real competition is centered on the smart devices. The enterprise and SMB environments have been slow to develop plans to permit use of smart devices. Originally it was fear of wifi, which was mostly based on some of that same good-old-boy IT power struggle/politics (protect our domain and livelihood) and completely missing the real issue of how to adapt and accommodate the inevitable use of those devices. That IT power play attempt was upset when high level business decision managers started showing up at work with iPads and other smart devices realizing that use of provided faster and more productive communication which does lend credence to the presence of competition but not necessarily adoption of same. Additionally, the majority of the user base (consumer, smb, and enterprise) has years of hands-on experience using MSFT products and weaning and retraining that entire population to something else is not economical. Consumer and business delays relative to purchase/upgrade isn't really about Windows...it's foundation has different reasons for consumers vs. business. The former - disposable income has been stagnant for quite some time, the latter - the desire to increase cash flow and reserves fearing another downturn or global recessionary phase. Though neither of these are sustainable reasons since the need and method to communication has changed - i.e. adapt or lose the ability to communicate on all fronts (home-work-everywhere) Agreed, MSFT does need to address the shortcomings of the Win8x style, but under-the-hood (push the UI aside) and its pretty much Win7 on steroids (faster, more secure, and capable of sync with multiple smart devices). Throw in the expiration of security updates for XP with its soon-to-be bigger bulls-eye vulnerability and it should be pretty obvious that MSFT is perfectly comfortable with first moving that 30% XP base to Win7 or Win8 since any delay for that population (hardware/software) is short term. Which then leaves what direction does Win8/Win X.x go. Win 8.0/8.1 is culture shock but necessary to change the model. Wherever it goes, its closer to the future model than most may realize (or even willing to admit). -- ...winston msft mvp consumer apps |
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